*[Enwl-eng] EXAMINER - 2012-13: NOAA predicts solar cycle 24 ”weakest since 1928” with $1 trillion damages in worst case

[ENWL.Bellona]

2012-13: NOAA predicts solar cycle 24 ”weakest since 1928” with $1 trillion
damages in worst case
<http://www.examiner.com/x-2912-Seattle-Exopolitics-Examiner>
 May 9, 3:43 PM
  Alfred Lambremont Webre
*Seattle **Exopolitics
Examiner*<http://www.examiner.com/x-2912-Seattle-Exopolitics-Examiner>

NASA Hathaway: Solar cycles 23-24 (1995-2020)

In a 
report<http://www.spaceweather.com/headlines/y2009/08may_noaaprediction.php?PHPSESSID=msmd0cr08oiagplf6hbbaaecv6>funded
by NASA, NOAA (U.S. National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration)
has issued a formal, public prediction that “A new active period of
Earth-threatening solar storms will be the weakest since 1928 and its peak
is still four years away, after a slow start last December, predicts an
international panel of experts led by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction
Center. Even so, Earth could get hit by a devastating solar storm at any
time, with potential damages from the most severe level of storm exceeding
$1 trillion.”

The prediction, published in a report at
www.spaceweather.com<http://www.spaceweather.com/headlines/y2009/08may_noaaprediction.php?PHPSESSID=msmd0cr08oiagplf6hbbaaecv6>,
continues: “The panel predicts the upcoming Solar Cycle 24 will peak in May
2013 with a daily sunspot number of 90. If the prediction proves true, Solar
Cycle 24 will be the weakest cycle since number 16, which peaked at 78 daily
sunspots in 1928, and ninth weakest since the 1750s, when numbered cycles
began.”

The NOAA solar panel’s predictions appear to lessen the potential risk to
the high energy electrical grid system of 2012-13 Solar flares set out in a
Jan. 2009 National Academy of Sciences (NAS) report.  According to a New
Scientist 
article<http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20127001.300-space-storm-alert-90-seconds-from-catastrophe.html>on
the NAS report,  “The [Jan. 2009] NAS report outlines the worst case
scenario for the US. The ‘perfect storm’ is most likely on a spring or
autumn night in a year of heightened solar activity - something like 2012.
Around the equinoxes, the orientation of the Earth's field to the sun makes
us particularly vulnerable to a plasma strike.”


Continued at:
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From: "CAMPAIGN" <peace at peaceinspace.org>
To: "V - enwl" <enwl at enw.net.ru>
Sent: Sunday, May 10, 2009 3:31 AM
Subject: EXAMINER - 2012-13: NOAA predicts solar cycle 24 ”weakest since 1928”
with $1 trillion damages in worst case